Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 8.609147 9.564881 10.608981 11.838730 13.253143 14.835647 16.749465
2025-11-30 7.237651 8.484383 9.942681 11.790089 14.090398 16.890026 20.601225
2025-12-07 6.240263 7.569560 9.194452 11.354469 14.192755 17.855952 23.043723
2025-12-14 5.460969 6.797505 8.486996 10.818307 14.014674 18.339869 24.808786
2025-12-21 4.965042 6.320132 8.084014 10.599810 14.183557 19.247566 27.218047
2025-12-28 4.974356 6.494306 8.539910 11.571116 16.087212 22.807640 34.066035
2026-01-04 4.745375 6.317531 8.488950 11.804841 16.925545 24.873611 38.898448
2026-01-11 4.393482 5.937798 8.114056 11.516593 16.922791 25.603368 41.587089
2026-01-18 4.244554 5.833235 8.122772 11.798775 17.832080 27.906800 47.411078
2026-01-25 3.984966 5.547226 7.837957 11.592726 17.914704 28.806696 50.768979
2026-02-01 3.765161 5.304843 7.599602 11.435682 18.054869 29.810488 54.485263
2026-02-08 3.566690 5.081558 7.373777 11.276731 18.168895 30.769076 58.265605
2026-02-15 3.348650 4.822394 7.085241 11.007745 18.093463 31.425172 61.680502
2026-02-22 3.193928 4.652885 6.928613 10.950810 18.399512 32.867477 67.181905
2026-03-01 2.984326 4.384324 6.593484 10.554439 18.026773 32.892462 69.358064
2026-03-08 2.773895 4.103513 6.221714 10.065005 17.428178 32.374751 70.105163
2026-03-15 2.635115 3.931146 6.019942 9.865418 17.374199 33.002459 73.902009
2026-03-22 2.702192 4.097193 6.396633 10.751977 19.581762 38.903681 93.339506
2026-03-29 2.646838 4.056205 6.413991 10.965044 20.427600 41.855295 105.421270
2026-04-05 2.518016 3.884827 6.192985 10.702259 20.231353 42.294775 110.015023
2026-04-12 2.478843 3.863909 6.236805 10.959516 21.194620 45.734913 125.271294
2026-04-19 2.375250 3.726881 6.063998 10.771682 21.143154 46.588481 132.119359
2026-04-26 2.284585 3.608301 5.918460 10.628467 21.179237 47.679826 140.188928